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Estimania

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Five numbers to estimate each day; the closer your guess, the more of 500 points you score.

Play Estimania

on estimania.app

Estimania today's first of five questions on desktop: how many solo studio albums Kendrick Lamar has released, with an estimate box and Submit button

Estimania is a free daily estimation game. Each day brings five questions with numerical answers, from science, geography, history, music and sport, and you type your best guess for each. Scoring is by ratio, so being twice off costs the same whether the answer is 5 or 5 billion, and your total goes on a shared leaderboard.

About Estimania

Estimania asks you to guess numbers rather than recall exact facts. Every day at midnight UTC a new set of five questions appears, spanning science, geography, history, music, sport and more. Some are Fermi questions in the spirit of the physicist's back-of-the-envelope problems, such as how many piano tuners work in Chicago, where nobody knows the exact answer but reasoning gets you close. Others are trivia with a number for an answer, such as how many studio albums a well known rapper has released.

Each answer scores from 0 to 100 points based only on the ratio between your guess and the reference value: points = 100 times (1 minus the absolute base-10 log of guess divided by answer). A perfect guess scores 100, being off by a factor of 2 scores 70, and being off by a factor of 10 or more scores nothing. Guessing too high and too low by the same factor costs the same. Each question shows its unit under the answer box, and a puzzle locks once you have played it.

After five questions you see your total out of 500 and where you rank on the day's leaderboard, which also has week and month views and shows players' streaks. You can create or join a friend group to compare scores question by question, link a second device with a recovery code, and play yesterday's set if you missed it. No sign-up is needed: you pick a nickname, and players can suggest their own questions.

Estimania is made by Valentin Forster, a solo developer in Graz, Austria, as a passion project with no ads, supported by donations on Ko-fi. It can be added to a phone's home screen as a web app. It suits Fermi problem fans, quiz players who like reasoning over memory, and anyone who wants to train a feel for scale.

How to play Estimania

  1. Open estimania.app and press Play Today's Puzzle.
  2. Read the question; every answer is a number, and its unit is shown under the box.
  3. Type your best estimate and press Submit.
  4. See the answer and your score out of 100, set by how many times off you were.
  5. After five questions see your total out of 500 and your rank on the leaderboard, then share it.

Screenshots

Estimania on a phone: question 1 of 5 with the estimate box, its unit (albums) and the Submit button
Estimania card: The daily estimation game, 5 questions per day, no sign-up needed, new puzzle at midnight UTC

Tips

  • Break hard questions into smaller estimates you can multiply (people times rate times time).
  • Think in powers of ten first, then refine the leading digit.
  • Because scoring is by ratio, an answer between two plausible values is often safest.
  • Do not leave silly round guesses; a factor of 10 off scores zero.

Questions

Are the questions the same for everyone?

Yes. One set of five questions a day, with a shared leaderboard.

When do new questions appear?

At midnight UTC.

How is the score calculated?

Only the ratio between your guess and the answer counts: 100 for exact, 70 at 2 times off, 0 at 10 times off or more.

Do I need an account?

No. You choose a nickname for the leaderboard, and a recovery code links a second device.

Can I play a day I missed?

Yesterday's set can be played from the results screen; older days are not offered.

Does Estimania have ads?

No. It is a passion project with no ads, supported by donations.

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